Saturday, November 06, 2004

My contribution to the monkeying around with data on the moral values question:

Exit polls allowed voters to choose the most important issue to them from four domestic issues (economy/jobs, health care, education, and taxes), two foreign policy issues (iraq, terrorism), and "moral values." Combining issues in this way blurs several important distictions - see the tail of my other post on this. Anyway, breaking down how people voted:

Most Important IssuePercentage of the Electorate BushKerry
Moral Values22%80%18%

Bush clearly won among votes who thought foreign policy was important, but by a smaller margin than Kerry won among voters who thought domestic policy was important - not to mention that there were fewer voteres interested in foreign policy. Which issue allowed Bush to close the gap?


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