If you're like me, you really hate the people who do the tv commentary during sports games. These people simply love trends - and throughout the game, they'll come up with lots and lots of figures that (supposedly) can tell us who will win. One such example is in the Brazil-Australia game, where the audience was told that teams who score the first goal (which, in this case, was Australia) are highly likely to win the game. Alex Massie takes this apart at TNR's world cup blog.